General election
[hide]U.S. House, Wisconsin District 1 General Election, 2016
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Party
|
Candidate
|
Vote %
|
Votes
| |
Republican
|  Paul Ryan Incumbent |
65%
|
230,072
| |
Democratic
|
Ryan Solen
|
30.2%
|
107,003
| |
Trump Conservative
|
Spencer Zimmerman
|
2.7%
|
9,429
| |
Libertarian
|
Jason Lebeck
|
2.1%
|
7,486
| |
Total Votes
|
353,990
| |||
Source: Wisconsin Elections Commission
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https://ballotpedia.org/Wisconsin%27s_1st_Congressional_District
Paul Ryan’s biggest challenger going into the 2016 General Election was Ryan Solen (Democrat). Paul Ryan headed into the election with close to 10 million dollars raised compared to Ryan Solen’s 7,500 dollars raised ; obviously Paul Ryan had the major advantage. Solen tried to appeal to the people of Wisconsin by saying Paul Ryan was “looking solely for party wins, and not necessarily what’s best for the people.” Ryan Solen wanted to have a debate with Paul Ryan to try gain more popularity among Wisconsin's 1st District, but Paul Ryan refused saying his constituents already know what he stands for and see his work in the community. To no surprise, considering Paul Ryan’s campaign funds and his powerful reputation, he crushed Ryan Solen in the General Election.
General Election Outlook
Paul Ryan’s 2018 General Election outlook is in his favor. He has been the representative for Wisconsin’s First Congressional District since 1999 and there has been no signs of him slowing down. From 2000-2016, Paul Ryan has won the General Elections in a landslide almost every time. Since Paul Ryan has come into office, his power has only been rising. He is now the Speaker the House and he is one of the most powerful people in congress. It is hard to imagine that his constituents would ever want to unseat the Speaker of the House who happens to be their district representative. Paul Ryan’s districts lines were also redrawn which made his district more Republican, which now makes Paul Ryan almost invincible to be unseated from a candidate who is from a different party. My prediction is that he is very safe in the next General Election.
Primary election
[hide]U.S. House, Wisconsin District 1 Republican Primary, 2016
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Candidate
|
Vote %
|
Votes
| ||
 Paul Ryan Incumbent |
84.1%
|
57,364
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Paul Nehlen
|
15.9%
|
10,864
| ||
Total Votes
|
68,228
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https://ballotpedia.org/Wisconsin%27s_1st_Congressional_District
In the 2016 Primary Election, Paul Ryan faced Paul Nehlen. Paul Ryan’s reelection was under the radar and no one really cared about the election until Donald Trump said he would not endorse Paul Ryan and he praised Paul Nehlen instead. Donald Trump’s comments made the Primary Election gain the national spotlight. After Trump’s comments Paul Ryan was still the heavy favorite, but there was still the possibility that Paul Nehlen could pull off one of the biggest upsets in election history, and people were sincerely worried about Paul Ryan’s job security. Paul Ryan did not overreact to Trump’s comments and he stuck to his gameplan and he crushed Paul Nehlen in the election.
Primary Election Outlook
Paul Ryan’s Primary Election outlook his strongly in his favor. Paul Ryan has been easily winning the Primary Elections and his constituents remain extreme loyal to him because they feel he represents their needs, and that he makes a sincere effort to make their lives better. Paul Ryan has been the representative of Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District for sixteen years and it is hard to believe that his constituents will want to get rid of him anytime soon. Paul Ryan’s ability to raise money and power he holds as Speaker of the House makes it highly unlikely a fellow Republican will be able to unseat him in the next election. My prediction is that he his very safe in the next Primary Election.
Campaign Finance Status
In 2016, The average amount a money a congressmen raised was 1.82 million dollars, and Paul Ryan raised 19,811,897 dollars; no one even comes to close to him. The ability to raise vast amounts of money makes Paul Ryan seem untouchable in elections, and he embarrasses his opponents with the amount of money he raises and it shows in the election results. Every election since 2000, Paul Ryan has raised over a million dollars and each year he continues to make more money than the previous year. The amount of money Paul Ryan raises significantly helps him win elections because he has so many resources and supporters that he can use, and the power he gains from the money he raises go hand and hand. After elections, Paul Ryan has a great amount of leftover money which he can also use for his political advantage.
Campaign Cmte Fundraising, 2015 - 2016
Raised:
|  $19,811,897 |   |
Spent:
|  $13,393,345 |  |
Cash on Hand:
|  $9,098,873 |  |
Debts:
|  $0 |  |
Last Report:
|
Saturday, December 31, 2016
| |
Top 5 Contributors, 2015 - 2016, Campaign Cmte
Contributor
|
Total
|
Indivs
|
PACs
|
Bank of America
|
$85,644
|
$75,644
|
$10,000
|
Nike Inc
|
$70,300
|
$69,300
|
$1,000
|
Blackstone Group
|
$68,000
|
$68,000
|
$0
|
Pfizer Inc
|
$63,255
|
$53,255
|
$10,000
|
Apple Inc
|
$62,850
|
$62,850
|
$0
|
Top 5 Industries, 2015 - 2016, Campaign Cmte
Industry
|
Total
|
Indivs
|
PACs
|
Retired
|
$4,430,717
|
$4,430,717
|
$0
|
Securities & Investment
|
$1,725,207
|
$1,528,707
|
$196,500
|
Real Estate
|
$982,779
|
$883,679
|
$99,100
|
Republican/Conservative
|
$741,651
|
$736,151
|
$5,500
|
Insurance
|
$657,649
|
$360,949
|
$296,700
|
Cycle
|
Race
|
Top vote-getting candidates
|
Raised
|
Spent
|
Election Results
|
2016
|
Paul Ryan*
Ryan Solen
|
$19,689,414
$23,748
|
$13,015,379
$16,889
|
Incumbent Reelected
| |
2014
|
Paul Ryan*
Rob Zerban
|
$9,358,582
$744,040
|
$8,041,589
$704,510
|
Incumbent Reelected
| |
2012
|
Paul Ryan*
Rob Zerban
|
$4,994,668
$2,265,795
|
$6,651,220
$2,244,425
|
Incumbent Reelected
| |
2010
|
Paul Ryan*
John Heckenlively
|
$3,922,760
$12,066
|
$1,781,673
$11,649
|
Incumbent Reelected
| |
2008
|
Paul Ryan*
Margaret Krupp
|
$1,653,204
$152,314
|
$2,251,389
$134,042
|
Incumbent Reelected
| |
2006
|
Paul Ryan*
Jeffrey C Thomas
|
$1,462,674
$1,687
|
$1,316,881
$1,687
|
Incumbent Reelected
| |
2004
|
Paul Ryan*
Jeffrey C Thomas
|
$1,374,025
$5,605
|
$849,365
$25,003
|
Incumbent Reelected
| |
2002
|
Paul Ryan*
Jeffrey C Thomas
|
$1,244,748
$40,587
|
$962,417
$40,993
|
Incumbent Reelected
| |
2000
|
Paul D. Ryan*
Jeffrey C Thomas
|
$1,343,419
$11,306
|
$1,055,707
$11,374
|
Incumbent Reelected
|
Major Issues
The major issues for Paul Ryan and his district consists of: agriculture, education, energy, environment, health care, Defense and Homeland Security, immigration, jobs, economy, medicare, social security, taxes, trade, veterans and military, war on terrorism.
Agriculture
The industry of agriculture provides for more than 10% of the Wisconsin’s employment and generates 60 billion dollars in revenue. Paul Ryan helped past the “Farm Bill” which created reformed commodity programs that eliminated Direct Payments. Other ways farmers benefitted from this bill was that the bill provided regulatory relief, fundamental tax reform, and stronger economic growth.
Budget
Paul Ryan considers the current economy bad for southern Wisconsin jobs, and he feels like Washington is not helping because Washington is calling for an increase in taxes and continuing to spend money they do not have. Paul Ryan supported a bill called “A Balanced Budget For A Stronger America”. The bill is suppose to achieve balance of the national debt, repeal the Affordable Care Act, ensure national defense, and cut spending while improving accountability; the bill is suppose to accomplish all these things by not raising taxes and call for a simpler and fairer tax code that will create more jobs.
http://paulryan.house.gov/issues/
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